{"id":9969,"date":"2019-03-14T17:35:34","date_gmt":"2019-03-14T17:35:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/2019\/03\/14\/tell-me-why-i-should-not\/"},"modified":"2019-03-14T17:35:34","modified_gmt":"2019-03-14T17:35:34","slug":"tell-me-why-i-should-not","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/2019\/03\/14\/tell-me-why-i-should-not\/","title":{"rendered":"tell me why i should not&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- Original Post Content --><br \/>\ntypically play on $25 tables with 345x odds and im betting on my rolls right after point &#8211; and go up with 3 bets until 2 hits.  will do max odds on 5-9 and 2X on 4 and 10 until hit, then i will max it.<br \/>\n\tif i hit a 4 or 10 point on come out, any cons to placing the 6 and 8 at this point?  if\/when come moves to the 6 or 8, just use the place and win to fund my odds on that number.<br \/>\n\tif come never moves to 6 or 8, just pull it down the place(s) and continue until 2 hits. <br \/>\n\thave an SRR of 6.32 at 5K rolls on practice rig and using a rolling 5K (when i rolled 5001th roll, 0001 roll dropped out of calc) to continue to track SRR.<br \/>\n\tjust looking for some input.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h3>Replies:<\/h3>\n<div class=\"migrated-reply\" style=\"border: 1px solid #eee;padding: 15px;margin-bottom: 15px;border-radius: 5px\">\n<p><strong>Posted by:<\/strong> NofieldFive on March 14, 2019, 8:31 pm<\/p>\n<div>MichaelB,<\/p>\n<p>\tWith an SRR of 6.23 you have an edge over the game, albeit a small edge.  So you should play the lowest house advantage bets offered.  Those would be the Pass and Come bets with as much in odds as your bankroll will allow.<br \/>\n\tWhen you are shooting on a 3\/4\/5 game we advise betting PL with full odds and 2 Come bets with full odds.  By betting this way you have reduced the house edge for Pass and Come bets to about 0.4%. And with a 6.23 SRR your edge on a Pass or Come with 3\/4\/5 odds is about 1.3%.    <\/p>\n<p>\tWith a 6.23 SRR your edge over the house is 1.7%.  So, when you place the 6 or 8 that have a house edge of 1.5% your edge over that bet is only 0.2%.  Whereas, your edge over the PL and Come is 1.3% as I mentioned.<\/p>\n<p>\tWhy would you make a bet that gives you a 0.2 % edge when you can make a bet that gives you a 1.3% edge? <\/p>\n<p>\tNFF<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"migrated-reply\" style=\"border: 1px solid #eee;padding: 15px;margin-bottom: 15px;border-radius: 5px\">\n<p><strong>Posted by:<\/strong> MichaelB on March 14, 2019, 8:54 pm<\/p>\n<div>\n<blockquote><p><strong>&quot;NofieldFive&quot; wrote:<\/strong> MichaelB,<\/p>\n<p>\tWith an SRR of 6.23 you have an edge over the game, albeit a small edge.  So you should play the lowest house advantage bets offered.  Those would be the Pass and Come bets with as much in odds as your bankroll will allow.<br \/>\n\tWhen you are shooting on a 3\/4\/5 game we advise betting PL with full odds and 2 Come bets with full odds.  By betting this way you have reduced the house edge for Pass and Come bets to about 0.4%. And with a 6.23 SRR your edge on a Pass or Come with 3\/4\/5 odds is about 1.3%.    <\/p>\n<p>\tWith a 6.23 SRR your edge over the house is 1.7%.  So, when you place the 6 or 8 that have a house edge of 1.5% your edge over that bet is only 0.2%.  Whereas, your edge over the PL and Come is 1.3% as I mentioned.<\/p>\n<p>\tWhy would you make a bet that gives you a 0.2 % edge when you can make a bet that gives you a 1.3% edge? <\/p>\n<p>\tNFF<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\n\tsince there is an edge, even though small, the thinking was to allow the placed winnings to help fund my come bet if it moves to the 6 or 8.<br \/>\n\tplace would not go out with a come out 5,6,8 or 9 &#8211; but im guessing not a fan still for reasons stated already.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"migrated-reply\" style=\"border: 1px solid #eee;padding: 15px;margin-bottom: 15px;border-radius: 5px\">\n<p><strong>Posted by:<\/strong> Dominator on March 14, 2019, 10:00 pm<\/p>\n<div>:))) You are right we are not a fan. Do what NF5 says and it will make you more money. <\/p>\n<p>\tOne more thing &#8211; don&#8217;t reduce the amount of odds just because it is a 4 or 10. Play the same amount of odds. I know you all are probably thinking that there are less ways to make these numbers. That doesn&#8217;t matter. With your SRR you are controlling the dice and playing with an edge. If you throw them the same way you will repeat the 4 or 10. I bet you have repeated them and it cost you money<\/p>\n<p>\tDom<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"migrated-reply\" style=\"border: 1px solid #eee;padding: 15px;margin-bottom: 15px;border-radius: 5px\">\n<p><strong>Posted by:<\/strong> MichaelB on March 15, 2019, 2:28 pm<\/p>\n<div>\n<blockquote><p><strong>&quot;Dominator&quot; wrote:<\/strong> &#8230; I bet you have repeated them and it cost you money<\/p>\n<p>\tDom<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\n\tthx for input.  very much appreciate it.<\/p>\n<p>\twhat got me to thinking about this was the fact that i dont find that i am repeating them much.  im usually hitting inside numbers or that damn 3 4.<br \/>\n\tworst situation for me has been with the come out 4, followed by a come to 10, followed by a come to inside.  just feeling like i only have that one inside number working for me and waiting for it to hit twice so i can get up on another number.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"migrated-reply\" style=\"border: 1px solid #eee;padding: 15px;margin-bottom: 15px;border-radius: 5px\">\n<p><strong>Posted by:<\/strong> Skinny on March 16, 2019, 2:17 am<\/p>\n<div>\n<blockquote><p><strong>&quot;MichaelB&quot; wrote:<\/strong> <br \/>\n\tworst situation for me has been with the come out 4, followed by a come to 10, followed by a come to inside.  just feeling like i only have that one inside number working for me and waiting for it to hit twice so i can get up on another number.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\n\tWhen that happens to me I will usually go with another come bet.  If it goes to a different inside number I am happy to stay with 4 bets at that point.<\/p>\n<p>\tOn occasion I get burned, but more often than not I will either hit one of my numbers immediately or go up with a 4th number and hit one of them before ending my turn.  It pays off more often than not so I am willing to take the risk.<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"migrated-reply\" style=\"border: 1px solid #eee;padding: 15px;margin-bottom: 15px;border-radius: 5px\">\n<p><strong>Posted by:<\/strong> MichaelB on March 16, 2019, 2:01 pm<\/p>\n<div>\n<blockquote><p><strong>&quot;Skinny&quot; wrote:<\/strong> [quote=&quot;MichaelB&quot;]<br \/>\n\tworst situation for me has been with the come out 4, followed by a come to 10, followed by a come to inside.  just feeling like i only have that one inside number working for me and waiting for it to hit twice so i can get up on another number.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\n\tWhen that happens to me I will usually go with another come bet.  If it goes to a different inside number I am happy to stay with 4 bets at that point.<\/p>\n<p>\tOn occasion I get burned, but more often than not I will either hit one of my numbers immediately or go up with a 4th number and hit one of them before ending my turn.  It pays off more often than not so I am willing to take the risk.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\n\tsounds like a plan.  thx<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"migrated-reply\" style=\"border: 1px solid #eee;padding: 15px;margin-bottom: 15px;border-radius: 5px\">\n<p><strong>Posted by:<\/strong> Dr Crapology on March 17, 2019, 11:03 pm<\/p>\n<div>The percentages that is talked about on this threat are right.  The thing that made Rose and I a believer in passline \/ come betting was not the percentages but the dollars  $$$.  <\/p>\n<p>\tIf on the 6 or 8 you have $10 on the pass line with $50 in odds the vig is 1.4% or $.14&#8212;1.4% on the $10 only.  BUT if you have $60 on the 6 or 8 the vig is 1.5% so a little higher&#8212;WRONG.  The cost is much higher in dollars as the  1.5% is on the whole $60 or $90 cents.  A whole lot higher. Imagine if you place $60 on the 5 or 9 the house vig of 4% way too high.  In dollars it is $.90&#8212;6.43 times higher.The same type of thing is true if place or buy the 4 or 10. Placing th 4 or 10 has a 6.67 % house vig.  The exact percent on buying the 4 or 40 depends on when the vig is paid&#8211;paid up front or on wins only.  The house vig is on the entire $60.  Making the house advantage much higher in dollars.  <\/p>\n<p>\tSo give passline \/ come betting a chance and you will see the very large difference.  <\/p>\n<p>\tDoc<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"migrated-reply\" style=\"border: 1px solid #eee;padding: 15px;margin-bottom: 15px;border-radius: 5px\">\n<p><strong>Posted by:<\/strong> Dr Crapology on March 18, 2019, 12:07 pm<\/p>\n<div>The placing of the 5 &amp; 9 with a 4% big is $2.40 not the $.90 as written.  Sorry for the typos on my response.  <\/p>\n<p>\tDoc<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"migrated-reply\" style=\"border: 1px solid #eee;padding: 15px;margin-bottom: 15px;border-radius: 5px\">\n<p><strong>Posted by:<\/strong> MichaelB on March 18, 2019, 12:47 pm<\/p>\n<div>\n<blockquote><p><strong>&quot;Dr Crapology&quot; wrote:<\/strong> The placing of the 5 &amp; 9 with a 4% big is $2.40 not the $.90 as written.  Sorry for the typos on my response.  <\/p>\n<p>\tDoc<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\n\tno worries.  never placed those anyways.  <br \/>\n\twont even buy the 4 and 10 at my place because vig paid on wins and losses.<br \/>\n\tthx for clarification.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>typically play on $25 tables with 345x odds and im betting on my rolls right after point &#8211; and go up with 3 bets until 2 hits. will do max odds on 5-9 and 2X on 4 and 10 until&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":211,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-craps"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9969","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/211"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9969"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9969\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9969"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9969"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9969"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}