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\tThe question of how betting action on proposition wagers stacks up to traditional methods, the point spread and over\/under total, courses through town every Super Bowl.<\/p>\n
\tThe answer depends on who\u2019s asked. Some sports book directors say their shops\u2019 breakdown is 60 percent to 40 percent one way while conflicting reports indicate the inverse. Others shoot straight to the middle at 50 percent both ways.<\/p>\n
\tMost have suspected that props would one day surpass the side and total for the last several years, but it\u2019s never indisputably occurred. By my completely unscientific and wholly personal measure, however, it\u2019s happened in 2015.<\/p>\n
\tFor the first time, \u201cwho do you like the game,\u201d is out as the most frequent query and replaced by \u201cwhat props do you like?\u201d Finally, I\u2019ve got my answer.<\/p>\n
\tAfter scouring the prop books at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook and William Hill, I\u2019ve selected my 10 favorite bets for Super Bowl 49 between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks. Find them below.<\/p>\n
\tAlternate point spread: Seattle minus-4.5 at plus-170 (risking $1 to win $1.70)<\/p>\n
\tTen days ago, most oddsmakers in town projected the line on this Super Bowl matchup as Seattle minus-3. Adding 1.5 points wouldn\u2019t have come close to resulting in a near 2-to-1 payout. For anyone who still likes Seattle \u2014 count me among that group \u2014 there\u2019s a smidge of value in laying the points.<\/p>\n
\tWill either team score three straight times: Yes at minus-180 (risking $1.80 to win $1)<\/p>\n
\tSports books rake cash off of bettors looking for a decent payout by taking the plus-price on the \u201cno\u201d almost every year. Anticipation builds a perception that the game is so evenly matched it will be a nonstop back-and-forth battle. It rarely plays out that way. One team has scored three straight times in the Super Bowl for three consecutive years, and in five of the past six.<\/p>\n
\tTotal fumbles by both teams: Over 1.5 at plus-155<\/p>\n
\tThis is the closest bettors can get to prolonging the tiresome \u201cDeflate Gate\u201d narrative in wager form. The prevailing opinion seems to be that the whole ordeal is much ado about nothing, but football analyst Warren Sharp has some compelling evidence to the contrary. With regularly inflated balls, it\u2019s reasonable to expect a better probability of fumbles from the Patriots. It\u2019s complete luck which team recovers any given fumble, but the high payout makes it worth the risk.<\/p>\n
\tTotal receiving yards by Rob Gronkowski: Under 84.5 at minus-110<\/p>\n
\tSeattle might not be the strongest at stopping tight ends, but that might be because it hasn\u2019t put a heavy emphasis on defending them in most games. Defensive coordinator Dan Quinn will have a different approach against Gronkowski, the Patriots\u2019 best weapon. The Seahawks have the size and physicality to frustrate Gronkowski, especially if Kam Chancellor spends as much time covering him as reported.<\/p>\n
\tTotal rushing yards by Russell Wilson: Under 45.5 at minus-110<\/p>\n
\tThe Patriots\u2019 unofficial mantra on defense is taking away what the opponent does best. For the Seahawks, that\u2019s run the ball. Wilson led the NFL in the regular season with 7.2 yards per carry. New England, which doesn\u2019t have a history of getting burned by mobile quarterbacks, will assign a spy on Wilson and prevent him from getting too far into the open field.<\/p>\n
\tWill Russell Wilson throw an interception: No at plus-110<\/p>\n
\tNow for the good news on Seattle\u2019s quarterback: He\u2019s not very turnover prone. Wilson has not thrown an interception in 22 of his 37 games over the last two seasons. Wilson\u2019s four-interception blowout against Green Bay in the NFC Championship Game was out of character and shouldn\u2019t over-influence a much larger sample size.<\/p>\n
\tTotal receptions by Luke Willson: Over 2 at minus-110<\/p>\n
\tThe Patriots are the third-worst team in the league against tight ends, according to Football Outsiders\u2019 DVOA. Willson happens to have emerged as a useful threat for the Seahawks in the second half of the season. He\u2019s caught 71 percent of his targets and rides a streak of four straight games with at least two receptions into the Super Bowl.<\/p>\n
\tTotal tackles by Richard Sherman: Under 3.5 at plus-110<\/p>\n
\tIt\u2019s an annual strategy to consider taking the highest profile defensive player to go under his tackles total. The number is often inflated, anticipating a flood of \u201cover\u201d bets, which looks like the case again this year. Sherman has beaten 3.5 tackles in just one of the Seahawks\u2019 last 12 games, and he only had four in the contest. The Patriots have publicly suggested they won\u2019t throw in the shutdown cornerback\u2019s direction much, giving him even less chances to rack up tackles.<\/p>\n
\tPlayer to score first Patriots touchdown: Shane Vereen at 8-to-1<\/p>\n
\tHave to take a flier on one long shot, right? New England might find success by avoiding Seattle\u2019s defensive backfield all together and throwing to receivers out of the backfield. Vereen specializes in such routes, establishing himself as a potential target in the props. One of the more attractive cross-sport wagers slots Vereen\u2019s receiving yards as a pick\u2019em against points made by Houston Rockets guard James Harden in his team\u2019s game at Detroit Sunday.<\/p>\n
\tWhich will be greater: Patriots and Seahawks made field goals minus-0.5 over Number of completed rounds in Anderson Silva vs. Nick Diaz at UFC 183 at minus-150<\/p>\n
\tSilva hasn\u2019t fought in more than a year. It\u2019s been closer to two years for Diaz. There\u2019s no telling how either will perform Saturday night at the MGM Grand Garden Arena. The most likely path to victory for both of them is taking advantage of the other\u2019s rustiness and scoring an early stoppage. Meanwhile, both defenses are stingy in the Super Bowl. They\u2019re not going to surrender the end zone easily, meaning both teams are bound to settle for field goals once or twice at minimum.<\/p>\n
Posted by:<\/strong> Finisher on February 2, 2015, 5:57 am<\/p>\n The question of how betting action on proposition wagers stacks up to traditional methods, the point spread and over\/under total, courses through town every Super Bowl. The answer depends on who\u2019s asked. Some sports book directors say their shops\u2019 breakdown…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8592","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8592","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/36"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8592"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8592\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8592"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8592"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8592"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Even tho my team was not playing it was a good game to watch till the end .
\n\tGood Rolling. \ud83d\ude42 \ud83d\ude42<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"