\nDIRECT FROM CAESAR\u2019S PALACE<\/p>\n
\tPosted September 30, 2012 6:28 am by Las Vegas Odds-maker Wayne Allyn Root<\/p>\n
\tA Las Vegas "odds-maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in
\n\tNovember. Interesting analysis.<\/p>\n
\tMost political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or
\n\tprognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats.
\n\tI am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a
\n\twell-known Vegas odds maker with one of the most accurate records of
\n\tpredicting political races.<\/p>\n
\tBut as an odds maker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking
\n\tpolitical races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call
\n\tthem as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Year’s
\n\tPredictions. I predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had been
\n\theld, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from
\n\tRick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would easily rout his
\n\tcompetition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that
\n\tthe Presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until
\n\telection day. But that on election day Romney would win by a landslide
\n\tsimilar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.<\/p>\n
\tUnderstanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding
\n\tRomney victory. 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9
\n\tpoints to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most
\n\tpollsters give Obama the edge?<\/p>\n
\tFirst, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my
\n\tgut instinct. Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch
\n\tto Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted
\n\tfor an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or
\n\tscared about the future. Voters know Obama now- and that is a bad harbinger.<\/p>\n
\tNow to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S. politics:<\/p>\n
\t**Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His
\n\tendorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going
\n\tChristians.
\n\tHe may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. This is not
\n\tgood news for Obama.<\/p>\n
\t**Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel . Many
\n\tJewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama’s
\n\tJewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60’s. This is not good
\n\tnews for Obama.<\/p>\n
\t**Youth voters. Obama’s biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4
\n\tyears ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are
\n\tdisillusioned, frightened, and broke- a bad combination. The enthusiasm is
\n\tlong gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual
\n\tvoting percentages. This not good news for Obama.<\/p>\n
\t**Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won’t
\n\thappen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with
\n\tthe Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the
\n\tCatholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.<\/p>\n
\t**Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time
\n\taround, and I’m a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of
\n\tsmall business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans
\n\tand supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to give someone different a
\n\tchance. As I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and
\n\tdemonize anyone who owned a business…that he’d support unions over the
\n\tprivate sector in a big way…that he’d overwhelm the economy with spending
\n\tand debt. My friends didn’t listen. Four years later, I can’t find one
\n\tperson in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not
\n\tone. This is not good news for Obama.<\/p>\n
\t**Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White
\n\tworking class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans
\n\tfeel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.<\/p>\n
\t**Suburban moms. The issue isn’t contraception, it’s having a job to pay for
\n\tcontraception. Obama’s economy frightens these moms. They are worried about
\n\tputting food on the table. They fear for their children’s future. This is
\n\tnot good news for Obama.<\/p>\n
\t**Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning
\n\tby 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more they
\n\tdisliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
\n\tAdd it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008? Will
\n\tanyone in America wake up on election day saying, I didn’t vote for Obama 4
\n\tyears ago, but he’s done such a fantastic job, I can’t wait to vote for him
\n\ttoday. Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure?<\/p>\n
\tForget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas odds maker and common sense
\n\tsmall businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a
\n\tworld-class repudiation of Obama’s radical and risky socialist agenda. It’s
\n\tReagan-Carter all over again.<\/p>\n
\tBut I’ll give Obama credit for one thing- he is living proof that
\n\tfamiliarity breeds contempt.<\/p>\n
\tDemocratic pollsters are attempting to suppress the Romney vote by releasing
\n\tbogus
\n\tpoll results based on skewed numbers, so just make sure you and everyone you
\n\tknow
\n\tvotes. Reagan was behind by 8% in the Gallup Poll in 1980 with less than ten
\n\tdays to go;
\n\tand he won by 9.7%.<\/p>\n
Posted by:<\/strong> ThomasH on October 15, 2012, 10:53 pm<\/p>\n Posted by:<\/strong> fscobe on October 16, 2012, 10:33 am<\/p>\n Posted by:<\/strong> Dominator on October 16, 2012, 11:57 pm<\/p>\n \tDominator<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n Posted by:<\/strong> GordonK1 on October 17, 2012, 4:32 am<\/p>\n DIRECT FROM CAESAR\u2019S PALACE Posted September 30, 2012 6:28 am by Las Vegas Odds-maker Wayne Allyn Root A Las Vegas "odds-maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in November. Interesting analysis. Most political predictions are made by biased…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1608","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-world-we-live-in"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1608","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1608"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1608\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1608"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1608"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forumarchives.tmsites.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1608"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\n\t‘<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"